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Cisco's Q4'FY11 operating cash flow, product gross margin and router sales sequentially declined
Wed, 8/10/11 - 10:36pm    View comments

Update 8-17-11:

Quarterly unrecognized revenue cash receipts from Cisco's two-tier distributors dropped -21% Y/Y

Update 8-12-11:

Palo Alto Networks is the culprit behind Cisco's -8.4% FY11 security sales decline
 

CiscoAs shown below, operating cash flow, product gross margin and router sales all sequentially declined during Cisco's Q4'FY11.

Most alarming to me was the -$408 million drop in Cisco's Q4 Y/Y (Year-Over-Year) operating cash flow!

A comparison of Cisco's FY11 sales to Cisco's FY10:

  • Total net sales climbed +$3.178 billion, up +7.9% to $43.218 billion from $40.040 billion.
  • Router sales climbed +$438 million, up +6.6% to $7.069 billion from $6.631 billion.
  • Switch sales dropped -$92 million, down a 6th of a percent -.006 to $13.437 billion from $13.529 billion.
  • New product sales climbed +$1.623 billion, up +14.2% to $13.035 billion from $11.412 billion.
  • Other product sales climbed +$137 million, up +16.1% to $985 million from $848 million.
  • Services sales climbed +$1.072 billion, up +14% to $8.692 billion from $7.620 billion.
And here's a comparison of Cisco's FY11 new product sales to Cisco's FY10:
  • Video connected home sales were down a slight -$2 million to $4.262 billion from $4.264 billion.
  • Collaboration sales climbed +$984 million, up +31.1% to $4.147 billion from $3.163 billion.
  • Security sales dropped -$146 million, down -8.4% to $1.582 billion from $1.728 billion.
  • Wireless sales climbed +$301 million, up +26.3% to $1.443 billion from $1.142 billion.
  • Data center sales climbed +$486 million, up +43.5% to $1.601 billion from $1.115 billion.
  • View how Cisco reorganized its product sales reporting.
  • View Cisco's Q4'FY11 press release.
  • View Cisco's Q4'FY11 financial highlights.
  • View Cisco's Q4'FY11 earnings call transcript.
Cisco's sequential quarterly operating cash flow declines (highlighted in yellow)

  Q1'FY10 Q2'FY10 Q3'FY10 Q4'FY10 Q1'FY11 Q2'FY11 Q3'FY11 Q4'FY11
Operating Cash Flow $1,488 $2,486 $2,967 $3,232 $1,667 $2,609 $2,979 $2,824

Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission


Cisco's sequential quarterly margin declines (highlighted in yellow)

Cisco Margins Q1'FY10 Q2'FY10 Q3'FY10 Q4'FY10 Q1'FY11 Q2'FY11 Q3'FY11 Q4'FY11
Product Gross Margin 65.47% 64.70% 64.31% 62.43% 62.65% 58.93% 60.35% 59.88%
Service Gross Margin 64.47% 63.67% 62.31% 63.80% 63.60% 64.80% 64.95% 66.79%
Gross Margin 65.26% 64.51% 63.94% 62.68% 62.83% 60.16% 61.28% 61.28%

Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission


Cisco's sequential quarterly sales declines (highlighted in yellow)

Cisco's Sales
(in millions)
Q1'FY10 Q2'FY10 Q3'FY10 Q4'FY10 Q1'FY11 Q2'FY11 Q3'FY11 Q4'FY11
Routers $1,600 $1,586 $1,714 $1,731 $1,804 $1,672 $1,860 $1,733
Switches 2,851 3,409 3,661 3,608 3,551 3,151 3,299 3,436
New Products 2,545 2,784 2,837 3,246 3,114 3,202 3,262 3,457
Other 204 197 224 223 231 211 248 295
Services 1,821 1,839 1,932 2,028 2,050 2,171 2,197 2,274
TOTAL $9,021 $9,815 $10,368 $10,836 $10,750 $10,407 $10,866 $11,195

Cisco's New
Product Sales

(in millions)
Q1'FY10 Q2'FY10 Q3'FY10 Q4'FY10 Q1'FY11 Q2'FY11 Q3'FY11 Q4'FY11
Video Home $901 $1,153 $1,115 $1,095 $1,000 $1,097 $1,060 $1,105
Collaboration 703 715 752 993 1,019 980 1,046 1,102
Security 403 394 405 526 395 359 413 415
Wireless 310 254 271 307 338 340 358 407
Data Center 228 268 294 325 362 426 385 428
TOTAL $2,545 $2,784 $2,837 $3,246 $3,114 $3,202 $3,262 $3,457

Source: Cisco Systems

Related story:

Quarterly unrecognized revenue cash receipts from Cisco's two-tier distributors dropped -21% Y/Y

Palo Alto Networks is the culprit behind Cisco's -8.4% FY11 security sales decline


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